French authorities have predicted a total cost of nearly nine billion euros for the Paris Games. GETTY IMAGES

The Paris Olympics are set to cost almost nine billion euros according to the latest estimates and the impact on the economy is likely to be more "psychological" than financial. Ahead of the 26 July opening ceremony on the Seine, ministers and observers are juggling the figures to estimate the costs and benefits of the sporting spectacle. 

So far, French authorities are predicting an overall cost —shared between the state and organisers — of nearly €9 billion ($9.5 billion), although the official figure will take time to firm up. Costs are always difficult to predict or confirm.



The Tokyo Olympics, delayed for a year until 2021 because of COVID-19, cost about $12.9 billion (€12 billion), Japan's Audit Board has been reported as saying. Greece's finance ministry estimates that the 2004 Athens Games cost $9.1 billion (€8.3 billion)  —although some independent estimates are closer to $15 billion (€13.9 billion). 

The Paris organising committee, financed by ticket sales, sponsors and International Olympic Committee (IOC) funds, has a budget of about €4.4 billion and has a mantra of "the Games finance the Games.” But billions of euros of public money have also gone into the Solideo infrastructure group that has built the Olympic Village north of the French capital and other facilities.

The final bill will depend on the amount of spending on Olympic bonuses for metro drivers, police and emergency services, as well as the general cost of security.

This week, the government has allotted another €33 million to Paralympics organisers who are struggling with ticket sales. The government and local authorities have so far committed about €2.4 billion to the Paris Olympics, mainly for construction. But the head of the government's Court of Accounts has estimated that the final state cost could be up to €5 billion.

Bruno Cavalier, chief economist for Oddo BHF financial services group, said the "direct state involvement is relatively limited". He added that the Olympics will not "radically change" France's public debt of about $3.2 trillion.

'Psychological' impact 

According to the Centre for Law and Economy of Sport (CDES), which has been monitoring the Paris Games for the IOC and the Paris 2024 organisers, the event will produce between €6.7 billion and €11.1 billion in economic benefits for the Paris region. But it added that these benefits would be spread over 20 years. In February, the Asteres consultancy estimated that the Games would bring in €5.3 billion in extra tax and social revenues.

Deutsche Bank said in a study this month that "host nations of the Olympics or FIFA World Cups rarely earn positive economic or even social returns on what are often massive and publicly-funded investment sprees on new stadiums and public infrastructure." It said that even the short-term boost to investment and employment was "limited" unless the host country is going through a recession.

For Bank of France governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau, the Paris Olympics will have more of a "psychological" impact than economic. But he said if France can improve its image around the world through the Games, then it could eventually expect new investment.



'It has created work'

In the short-term some companies are already seeking to cash in. Le Slip Francais, an underwear maker, is making thousands of extra underpants, swimming costumes, pyjamas and other goods in the Olympic colours, according to its managing director Lea Marie. "It has created work in our factories" and for the company's 80 sub-contractors, she said.

Companies linked to the Olympic building spree have also benefited.

According to the CDES, construction and refurbishing companies expect to increase revenues by up to €3 billion from the Olympics. Tourism expects to earn up to €3.6 billion from the 15 million visitors predicted for the Games, including two million from abroad. Oddo BHF predicted that media, leisure, drinks and alcohol, consumer goods and transport companies would all benefit from the Games.